Lok Sabha Elections: Survey Forecasts UDF Sweep of 20 Kerala Seats

Insights into the Potential Shift in Kerala's Political Landscape and the Implications for the Upcoming Elections

A new opinion survey has sparked intense discussions about the upcoming Lok Sabha elections. The latest ABP News-CVoter Opinion Survey predicts a resounding wave in favour of the United Democratic Front (UDF) in Kerala,

Projection Contrasts with Previous Results

The survey predicts that the UDF will sweep all 20 seats in the state. There’s no room for the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) or the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) at the centre to secure even a single victory. This projection starkly contrasts with the 2019 general elections. The UDF won 19 out of 20 seats, while the LDF managed to clinch only the Alappuzha constituency.

The survey suggests that Congress leader Rahul Gandhi, contesting from the high-profile Wayanad constituency, could significantly contribute to the UDF’s anticipated success. Expectations are that Gandhi’s candidacy will galvanize the party’s support base and create a favourable wave for the alliance.

Delving deeper into the survey findings, it projects the UDF to garner a substantial 44.5 per cent of the votes. By comparison, expectations are that the LDF will trail at 31.4 per cent and the NDA at 19.8 per cent, respectively. Other parties are anticipated to capture a modest 4.3 per cent of the votes cast in the state. The Congress party, Muslim League, Kerala Congress (Joseph), and the Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) are contesting the Lok Sabha elections as part of the UDF alliance, presenting a formidable front.

Political Battlegrounds: LDF vs. NDA in Kerala’s Unique Landscape

On the other hand, the Communist Party of India (CPM), the Communist Party of India (CPI), and the Kerala Congress (M) are fielding candidates under the LDF banner. Both fronts have already unveiled their respective lists of candidates, setting the stage for an intense political battle. Meanwhile, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Bharath Dharma Jana Sena (BDJS) are contesting the Lok Sabha elections as part of the NDA alliance.

Kerala’s political landscape is unique. The fierce contest pits Congress and CPM, two major parties in the INDIA alliance, against each other. This dynamic adds an intriguing layer to the state’s electoral dynamics.

While the survey paints a promising picture for the UDF in Kerala, it also sheds light on the BJP’s prospects in South India. According to the findings, the BJP will likely make significant regional gains during these elections. Predictions indicate that the NDA will only secure 20 to 30 seats across the southern states. In contrast, the INDIA alliance is expected to win 70 to 80 seats. Similarly, like in Kerala, the NDA is not projected to win any seats in the neighbouring state of Tamil Nadu.

National Level Prediction

On a national level, out of the total 540 Lok Sabha seats, the survey forecasts the BJP winning between 295 and 335 seats. The Opposition Alliance (INDIA) may secure around 165 to 205 seats. Other parties may collectively win 35 to 65 seats. The ABP-CVoter survey team gathered feedback from eligible voters nationwide between February 1 and March 10 to arrive at these projections.

As the nation gears up for the crucial Lok Sabha elections, these survey findings have ignited debates and discussions among political pundits and the general public. While opinion polls provide valuable insights, the final verdict will ultimately rest with the electorate, whose collective voice will shape the nation’s political trajectory for the next five years.

Rohit Sharma

Rohit Sharma is a seasoned Political Journalist with a deep passion for Indian Politics. With over a decade of experience in the field, he has established himself as a trusted… More »

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